The Wall Street Journal reports that investors are again embracing the idea of "decoupling" as markets in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Singapore are up nearly twice as much as those in the U.S. and Europe as their economies recover strongly from the recession.
In economics, decoupling refers to the ability of an economy to grow without corresponding increases in environmental pressure. In many economies increasing production (GDP) would involve increased pressure on the environment. An economy that is able to sustain GDP growth,
without also experiencing a worsening of environmental conditions, is said to be decoupled.
According to the Journal, optimism about Asia focuses largely on China's success in reviving the economy with stimulus spending and easy credit. The report adds that exports to China are helping a number of other economies recover, too, including Japan, South Korea and Singapore. China's demand for metals is also boosting Australia's economy.
"I actually think we had decoupling in train since the middle of 2006, and that process got derailed temporarily by the breathtaking disruption in financial markets when Lehman went under," Frederic Neumann, an economist with HSBC in Hong Kong tells the newspaper. "Now
we have it back, thanks in large part to loose monetary conditions."
The Journal says that economists and policy makers concur that Asian consumers need to spend more if the region's manufacturers aren't to rely on exports.
However, the Journal writes that not everyone believes in the decoupling concept. "Decoupling is a myth," Stephen Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, told the Journal. "In the aftermath of the post-Lehman demand shock in the developed world, every single Asian economy either slowed sharply or tumbled into outright recession. How can anyone call that decoupling?"
CFO innovation Asia Accounting and Regulation the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Accounting Regulation, IFRS, US GAAP, Tax, investor relations, corporate governance, Corporate Law, Financial Regulators, Internal Audit, Audit, Corporate Law. |
CFO innovation Asia, Finance and Banking the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Corporate Finance, trade finance, treasury and risk management, capital expenditure, Banking, mergers and acquisitions |
CFO innovation Asia the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Finance Management, Corporate Governance, Human Resource Management, Compensation and Benefits, Mergers and Acquisitions, Professional Development, Corporate Real Estate, Risk Management, Budgeting and Forecasting, Business Process Management, Business Process Reengineering, Outsourcing. |
CFO innovation Asia Technology the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Finance Systems, Business Intelligence, EPR, Accounting software, CRM, Cloud Computing, Telecommunications, Business Process Outsourcing, Business Process Management Software. |