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2013, May 23

China Cuts Interest Rates to Make Borrowing More Attractive

China Cuts Interest Rates to Make Borrowing More Attractive

by CFO Innovation Asia Staff, 06 July 2012
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In a surprise move, China's central bank cut interest rates for the second time in less than a month.
 
To make borrowing more attractive, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it would cut the one-year yuan lending rate by 0.31 percentage point, to 6%.
 
This follows the 0.25 percentage point cut on June 7, which was the first interest rate cut in three years.
 
In a report, ABN AMRO interpreted the quick succession of cuts as an indication that China's top leadership is concerned about the pace of the economic slowdown. “They are willing to do all it takes to avoid any further cooling down of the economy,” the investment bank concluded.
 
ABN AMRO expects multiple cuts in banks’ reserve requirements (200 percentage points) and another moderate cut in the lending rate (50 percentage points) to ensure an economic rebound in the second half of the year. 
 
Virendra Singh, Director of Moody's Analytics, also believes that more cuts in the lending rate are coming because it’s key to the viability of long-term infrastructure projects. He says that the cut makes it clear that inflation will be low, and Q2 GDP will likely come in at 7.5%, which is lower than the 7.8% Moody's had previously forecast.
 
The Wall Street Journal reports that the PBOC also said banks could lend at 70% of the benchmark rate, down from 80% currently, making loans more affordable for
borrowers.
 
Many business officials, however, have argued that interest rates aren't inhibiting them from borrowing more, but lack of demand is the problem, says the Journal.
 
The Journal cites HSBC economist Sun Junwei who says that the PBOC's decision to lower the rates suggested that "we have to be prepared for worse-than-expected growth data and a faster-than-expected drop in inflation."
 
The PBOC also put up a notice on its website warning banks to continue suppressing speculative investments in housing, making it clear that the property bubble remains a concern of the government and there will be no change in policy for its mortgage loans.
 
 
 
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CFO Innovation Asia Staff
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