Strategic Intelligence for CFOs, Finance Directors, Controllers and Treasurers in Asia  | 
2013, May 23

Asian Liquidity Stress Index Stabilises in April

Asian Liquidity Stress Index Stabilises in April

by CFO Innovation Asia Staff, 09 May 2012
Thumbnail: 

Moody's Investors Service says that its Asian Liquidity Stress Index (Asian LSI) stabilised in April and now stands at 15.3%, compared with 15.5% in March.

 

The Index, which increases when speculative-grade liquidity appears to decrease, is near its highest level since October 2010. However, it remains well below the high of 37% recorded in 4Q2008 during the financial crisis.

 

In absolute terms, 15 of the 98 issuers in the speculative-grade portfolio demonstrated weak liquidity as at end April compared with 15 of 97 issuers in March.

 

"In April, the liquidity sub-index for Chinese speculative-grade companies stood at 15.6%, down from the high of 18.6% in March," says Laura Acres, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer. "While there was some improvement for the liquidity of Chinese property companies, it remains of note that almost one in four of such companies have weak liquidity."

 

As of end-April 2012, the 12-month trailing default rate for speculative-grade names was 2.63%, which compares to no defaults in 2011.

 

The correlation between weak liquidity and default remains high. Some 93.3% of Asia-Pacific companies with the lowest SGL score (SGL-4) are rated B1 and below, compared with 86.6% in March.

 

In April, the downgrade to upgrade ratio moderated with just one downgrade compared to one upgrade after three clear quarters of downgrades exceeding upgrades.

 

There were also four negative outlook changes and one rating was put on review for downgrade.

 

"As such a strong negative bias remains with almost 40% of the speculative-grade portfolio having a negative outlook or being on review for downgrade," adds Acres.

 

During Q1 2012 in Asia, concerns about euro area sovereign debt and a more general economic slowdown seemed to ease as markets reopened and investors showed appetite for Asian risk. However, more recently, a level of caution has prevailed and there remain several deals in the market yet to complete.

 

Moody's still expects a moderate erosion of liquidity this year, as a tight credit supply in China flows through to the wider corporate space.

MORE ARTICLES ON LIQUIDITY

Orignal Author: 
CFO Innovation Asia Staff
Quote Image: 

Related articles

Comment on this article

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <a> <p> <span> <div> <h1> <h2> <h3> <h4> <h5> <h6> <img> <img /> <map> <area> <hr> <br> <br /> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <table> <tr> <td> <em> <b> <u> <i> <strong> <font> <del> <ins> <sub> <sup> <quote> <blockquote> <pre> <address> <code> <cite> <embed> <object> <strike> <caption>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Use <!--pagebreak--> to create page breaks.

More information about formatting options

Verification Code
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
CFO innovation Asia Accounting and Regulation the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Accounting Regulation, IFRS, US GAAP, Tax, investor relations, corporate governance, Corporate Law, Financial Regulators, Internal Audit, Audit, Corporate Law.
CFO innovation Asia, Finance and Banking the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Corporate Finance, trade finance, treasury and risk management, capital expenditure, Banking, mergers and acquisitions
CFO innovation Asia the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Finance Management, Corporate Governance, Human Resource Management, Compensation and Benefits, Mergers and Acquisitions, Professional Development, Corporate Real Estate, Risk Management, Budgeting and Forecasting, Business Process Management, Business Process Reengineering, Outsourcing.
CFO innovation Asia Technology the Asia Pacific resource center for senior finance executives, daily news, analysis, best practice and case studies in Finance Systems, Business Intelligence, EPR, Accounting software, CRM, Cloud Computing, Telecommunications, Business Process Outsourcing, Business Process Management Software.